The Fresh Bull
The flagship signal — the day institutional-size volume first shows up in a coin.
What is a Fresh Bull?
Most days, a coin's volume is crowd noise. A Fresh Bull is the day that changes: price breaks up on more than double the biggest volume day of the previous two weeks, and holds its gains into the close. Moves of that size are rarely retail — they are the footprint of large, deliberate buying.
Because it needs such an extreme volume expansion, the signal is rare by design. On Bitcoin it has appeared only a handful of times since 2017 — on smaller coins it marks the days worth putting on a watchlist.
An up day
The coin closes higher than it opened — demand won the session.
More than 2× the recent maximum volume
The day's volume is more than double the biggest single volume day of the previous 10 days. Not just above average — more than twice the recent peak.
Strong close
The close finishes in the top half of the day's range (DCR ≥ 50) — buyers stayed in control into the close, not a fade.
All three must hold on the same completed daily candle. A Fresh Bull almost always qualifies as a Pocket Pivot too — when both fire, the Fresh Bull badge takes precedence.
The lifecycle
A Fresh Bull is not a one-day event — the screener tracks what price does around the FB High for the next 30 days.
The breakout day itself. Its high becomes the key reference level: the FB High. From here the screener tracks Days since FB and Away from FB Day High %.
Price rests within 5% below the FB High. A tight, constructive pause under the breakout level — the classic setup before a push through it. Filter: FB Pause Move.
Price has cleared the FB High and is holding within 5% above it. The old breakout level is now acting as support — a sign the move is being accepted. Filter: FB Support.
Price crosses above the FB High. Intraday, this fires an FB Breakouts Today alert on the Realtime Alerts page the moment it happens.
How to trade it
The zone between the FB day's high and close is the area of interest — the price range where the big buyer showed their hand. Everything about trading this pattern revolves around that zone: a later close above it confirms new buyers agree, and once broken, the zone tends to act as support on retests.
The rules
- Entry
- A daily CLOSE above the FB day's high — not just an intraday poke. The close is what endorses the original buying. In a pause, an alternative entry is the bounce when the 10/20 EMA catches up to price after a few quiet days.
- Stop
- Below the FB day's low for the breakout entry, or below the pause-range low for a pause-move entry. If price closes back below the FB high after breaking out, the trade thesis is weakening — that's what the Pulled Back section on the monitor tracks.
- Works best when
- The 50 EMA is rising, the pause after the FB day is quiet (small candles, shrinking volume, sometimes a TTM Squeeze right on the FB zone), and BTC is RISK ON.
- Avoid when
- The volume spike came from bad news (hack, delisting, dump-and-reverse), the coin never pauses and is already 20%+ above the FB high, or the whole market is RISK OFF.
Scan recipes
Ready-made filter combinations on the Screener — each takes under a minute to set up.
Fresh Bulls today
- 1Fresh Bull Volume card → set the Days since FB slider to 0–0
- 2Sort by Volume (default) — heaviest institutional interest first
→ Every coin that printed a Fresh Bull on the last completed candle.
Pause-move watchlist
- 1Moving Average card → 🔑 Rising 50 EMA on
- 2Fresh Bull Volume card → FB Pause Move on
→ Uptrending coins resting just below their breakout level — the classic pre-breakout state.
Support reclaim
- 1Fresh Bull Volume card → FB Support on
- 2Optionally add 🔑 Rising 50 EMA to demand trend
→ Coins holding above the FB high — the breakout being accepted.
About to break
- 1Days since FB slider → 1 to 7
- 2Away from FB Day High % slider → −5 to 0
→ Recent Fresh Bulls within 5% of the trigger. The Fresh Bull Analysis page tracks the same set live with progress bars.
For the live trigger itself, watch FB Breakouts Today on the Realtime Alerts page — it fires the moment a recent Fresh Bull crosses its FB high intraday.
On the Screener
- The Fresh Bull badge appears in the Patterns column on the day the signal fires; the Fresh Bull Vol checkbox in the Fresh Bull Volume filter card shows only those coins.
- Days since FB slider — filter by how recent the Fresh Bull is (0 = today). The same value is available as an optional table column via the columns icon.
- Away from FB Day High % slider — where price sits versus the FB High: negative = still below the breakout level, positive = already above it.
- FB Pause Move and FB Support checkboxes select the two lifecycle setups directly.
The live monitor — Fresh Bull Analysis
The Fresh Bull Analysis page tracks every Fresh Bull from the last 7 days against its FB High, with prices updating every 15 seconds. Click any card to open its TradingView chart. Coins move between four sections automatically:
- Fresh Bull Today — detected live today from the alerts feed.
- Breaking Out Now — trading above the FB High right now, strongest first.
- Pulled Back — broke out earlier but has slipped back below the FB High.
- Waiting to Break — still below the FB High; the progress bar fills as price approaches the breakout level.
Live detection & caveats
- The Realtime Alerts page detects Fresh Bulls on the live, still-forming candle and flags FB Breakouts Today the moment a recent Fresh Bull crosses its FB High.
- An intraday Fresh Bull is provisional: if volume pace fades or the close drops into the lower half of the range, the coin is removed from the list before the candle completes. Only the daily close confirms the signal.
- Volume can spike for bad reasons too (hacks, delistings, news-driven dumps that reverse). The pattern finds unusual demand — always check the chart and the news before acting.